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February 14, 2008

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bmartinmd

Despite posts here and elsewhere on the subject, it does appear that the media brouhaha over the delayed ENHANCE data is much ado about poor-quality ultrasound data. As far as who knew what when, it is clear from SP's ENHANCE timeline that the biostatisticians knew of data-quality problems during the latter of half of 2005, and it seems likely that the information would have percolated up the executive ladder during 2006.

Now whether insider knowledge of the suboptimal ENHANCE data influenced SP or Merck execs to unload stock is yet to be determined. But that answer hinges on whether execs were sufficiently clairvoyant to know that suboptimal data from a relatively small study in a population with an uncommon form of genetically determined atherosclerosis would attract such fanatical attention. In my estimation, that kind of clairvoyance means you're God.

anonymous coward

funny he calls them bloggers...I guess you really got under his skin Peter. :-)

Peter Rost

"But that answer hinges on whether execs were sufficiently clairvoyant to know that suboptimal data from a relatively small study in a population with an uncommon form of genetically determined atherosclerosis would attract such fanatical attention. In my estimation, that kind of clairvoyance means you're God."

This may not be a correct interpretation. This was THE study on Vytorin, this is the reason so many asked for it causing a congressional outcry. And if they knew study was in trouble they knew Vytorin sales were in danger . . .

Insider

bmartinmd

I think you have swallowed a red herring.

Do you really think SP would have called ENHANCE a small study in an unusual population if the result had been positive?

No siree.

It would have been touted like AZ have touted METEOR - licence change and all!

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But that answer hinges on whether execs were sufficiently clairvoyant to know that suboptimal data from a relatively small study in a population with an uncommon form of genetically determined atherosclerosis would attract such fanatical attention. In my estimation, that kind of clairvoyance means you're God."

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According to Portfolio.com one of Eli Lilly's lawyers at Pepper Hamilton in Philadelphia wanted to email Sidley Austin's Bradford Berenson, about the Zyprexa negotiations that would cost the company a record $1 billion. But the lawyer instead emailed the wrong Berenson--Alex Berenson.

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